From induction to abduction

February 20, 2010

My seminar on the above subject is now available online. It’s the most recent thinking on the basis for SenseMaker™ as a research product. For people who have heard a lot of the podcasts there will be some familiar material, but the structure of the material and the linkages should provide some novelty. I am also starting to realise that the distinction between abduction and induction (in which I include hypothetico-deductive) is important in the way we use statistics. A correlation when you are testing a hypothesis may indicate a causal link to a degree. In an abductive environment it is an invitation to investigate something of interest, requiring human intelligence to interpret and the supporting and linked micro-narratives to act as a means of refining the explanandum to achieve an expananans. In dealing with complexity question and answer are an intertwined and interwoven process that can lead to insight.

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The Cynefin Company (formerly known as Cognitive Edge) was founded in 2005 by Dave Snowden. We believe in praxis and focus on building methods, tools and capability that apply the wisdom from Complex Adaptive Systems theory and other scientific disciplines in social systems. We are the world leader in developing management approaches (in society, government and industry) that empower organisations to absorb uncertainty, detect weak signals to enable sense-making in complex systems, act on the rich data, create resilience and, ultimately, thrive in a complex world.

Cognitive Edge Ltd. & Cognitive Edge Pte. trading as The Cynefin Company and The Cynefin Centre.


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